LED's are qutie a jump in price from LCD/Plasma, and since they are relatively new to the market, I would tend to stay away from them until they can be proven to be reliable technology.
I just bought myself a 46" Samsung LCD about two months ago and absolutely love it. I weighed the pros and cons of all the options out there, and felt that I got the best TV for my money in the Samsung. A friend of mine works at an electronics store and also seconded my opinion, saying he had seen more returns from LG, Toshiba and Sony than from Samsung.
As far as getting the HD PVR I would suggest getting the stand-alone HD box (~$200), and then getting the standalone PVR that just came out (~$300) that has ~600 hours of recording. For roughly the same price as a PVR/HD reciever $500 all-in-one! The hd/pvr reciever all in one only has about 1/6th of the memory as the stand alone PVR unit that just came out.
Happy Shopping!
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