Thread: Climategate
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Old 11-21-2009, 06:03 PM   #24
TheU
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Join Date: Sep 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by puckhog View Post
Sorry, but this post is just absurd. Current data shows nothing about what will happen in 10-15 years, it is entirely limited to telling us what the arctic ice extent is at the present time. Anything beyond right now is a forecast. Now, when a forecast is made, it is necessarily based on a set of assumptions. When the time-frame of a forecast grows, the probability of it being inaccurate greatly increases, because the assumptions that the forecast is based upon are more likely to be wrong.

Since we're on a hockey board, I will illustrate with a hockey example: at the start of the season Ovechkin scored 9 points in 3 games. Based upon this data, it would have been possible to forecast that he would end the season with 246 points - the available data (at the time) does nothing to show that this forecast is invalid. However, we all know that it would have been silly to expect Ovechkin to do this, because the assumptions that it is based upon are highly unlikely (i.e. no injuries or slumps, or that his production through the first 3 games was not an anomaly).

Back to the discussion about these leaked files, some of them would indicate that the assumptions made both in treating the existing data and producing forecasts were done in a way that would produce the desired results. To anyone with any scientific background (including performing a lab or two in junior high) this is simply unacceptable. The scientific process is all about trying to disprove a given hypothesis, if the hypothesis stands up through test after test, then it is considered a theory or law. Many of the scientists involved with 'proving' global warming seem to have forgotten this.
Couldn't have said it better myself. There is literally billions of dollars at stake, and bad science is happening. Some important facts

  • Global average temperature hasn't gone up in 10 years
  • The world has been hotter than this before, and much cooler
  • The data does NOT match with the theory of man made global warming. The increase in carbon and raise in temparature are not aligned, and most important
  • Ice core data from al gore's own movie demonstrates the relationship between carbon and raise in temperature are reverse.
That's right folks, the temperature goes up first, then, between 25-150 years later, carbon goes up after. Do yourself a favour and look at the data yourself, don't take my word for it. This global warming fraud is starting to catch up to reality, and in 5 years everyone will be wondering how such a great lie was allowed to go on for so long. Hint... take liberal tree hugging bleeding hearts and team them up with evil scientists who take a result and fit the theory to match it. These greedy climate change scientists who are reading results and running projections in such a way to get scary predictions are literally raping science. Jail time should be in order as far am I'm concerned
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