Quote:
Originally Posted by Rerun
Sometimes by-elections can be a bit of an anomaly, but in this case it certainly highlights a significant trend.... that the Conservatives are gaining support while the Liberals are in free fall. At present, it appears that the only place that a Liberal candidate has a snowball's hope in hell of getting elected is in the large multicultural downtown urban areas. ie... Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver. Forget the other 99% of Canada.
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That would be fairly representative of the last election though. I doubt that the Liberal rank and file can be stunningly happy about this, top that with the fact that Liberal poll numbers are really reflecting what happened in these bi-elections and it goes back to a bit of mismanagement on the behalf of the new leadership of the Liberal party.
People are right, mid term bi-elections mean nothing as a whole unless they represent a trend, and right now the trend is that the Liberal candidates are getting squashed, they're showing declines in those areas instead of slight increases or status quo.
As well they tend to be more accurate then the pictures that you get in nation wide polls.