Brutally coached game. That safety was the ball game.
To win after that point we would've needed to recover 2 onside kicks. At a recovery rate of around 20% (the NFL rate) the odds of getting two is 4%. Add the fact that we'd need an extra FG drive in there and you're basically giving yourself no chance.
Punt from the 5 and get a quick stop. Congi misses 25% of his FGs and that total is only going to rise with a 40+ yarder.
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