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Originally Posted by moon
Well first off one of Texas/Kansas and Alabama/Florida will have a loss guaranteed so that reduces the number of team they need to beat out.
I think they get in over a 0 loss Cincy. That is what I have heard on the radio from people who do the computer projections.
They may even get in over a 0 loss Iowa, but I haven't heard about the computer projections and it is more unlikely that a mediocre team like Iowa losses rather than goes undefeated.
I don't think it is likely, but I think that realistically they need Texas to lose and then they have a real chance at making it.
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The point is that with one loss USC has to rely on other teams. How likely that is is irrelevant.
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For me the only reason to have an 8 team play-off would be to include those mid-majors and therefore shut them up.
If you aren't going to include them than you can likely go with a 4 team play-off as there aren't going to be more than that who deserve a shot (but that is because there isn't a mid-major team that has deserved a shot at the NC in the BCS era so I would be fine with their whining).
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Okay, so your 8 team playoff last season has the 6 conference champs, Utah, and Texas OR Alabama.
I'm sure that would go over much better than the current system.