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Old 10-03-2009, 12:41 PM   #19
jammies
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Originally Posted by You Need a Thneed View Post
The percentage is likely very close to what it is in the general population, whatever that percentage is.
I doubt it - there's a selection bias where careers that bring sexual predators into contact with their preferred victims will be over-represented in their populations; if you want to diddle teenage boys, you will tend towards activities and careers that bring you into contact with them.

I don't know about the 1.5-4% number, though, it seems pretty high. That seems to assume that the vast majority of such priests go undetected, as despite the publicized cases, nowhere near that number have actually been accused or convicted. I would guess that the current and long-running social hysteria about "pedophiles" informed the methodology behind those numbers, and that 10% of that number is more like reality.
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