Quote:
Originally Posted by starseed
There were thousands of Liberal voters who stayed home simply because of Dion and the green shift, I am pretty certain that this wont be the case with Ignatieff.
Ignatieff has a pretty good strategy of selling the line "I could have been Prime Minister, but chose not to because it was not in the national interest". I think voters will not be swayed by the argument that a vote for the Liberals is a vote for the separatists/socialists.
It is easy to say they could pick up a few seats in the rest of the country, but the only thing that seems certain is that they will lose seats in Quebec. The rest of the country is still up in the air. I think the conservatives will have a much tougher time with Ignatieff, especially now that he is constantly saying the word 'centrist' and 'moderate'.
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It's tough to say what will happen. I was outlining what I believe to be their road to majority, rather than what I think will be most likely. No one can know what will happen on the election trail but I'm pretty sure there are only three possible results - Coalition (i.e. Conservative minority), Liberal minority or Conservative majority. I think it's impossible that the Liberals could gain 80 seats from the Conservatives and Bloc given the new professional corps of campaigners in the CPC so I don't count a Liberal majority as a possibility.