All of the poll numbers out there right now point to a neck and neck race. If Ignatieff beats Duceppe in the French debate, the numbers could potentially break in Quebec. I think Harper is non player in Quebec. He cannot be too happy about the dismal numbers for the NDP in Ontario. The vote split last time really helped him out in Ontario, he could lose upwards of 20 seats in that province if those numbers hold. 20 seats in Ontario, along with the 5-7 he will lose in Quebec and you have a horse race, especially if the NDP lose 5-7 in Ontario and the Grits make a 25 seat gain out there (up to 63 seats)
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