Quote:
Originally Posted by Gozer
You're talking like its an NFL rookie salary structure, that's just not the way it is.
A prospect that would grade out as a mid 3rd rounder hires Boras as his agent and makes it clear that any team that signs him will have to pay him 1st round money. Therefore, his "actual" value is much lower than his "true" value and he doesn't get picked until the 5th round by a big market team that is willing to overpay for the talent.
The small market team that could have drafted the player in the 3rd round instead drafts 5th round talent because they can sign him for 5th round money.
Apply that to ten rounds of draft picks for ten years and this incremental over/under slotting has an appreciable effect.
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Then why isn't it happening like that?
Who are all these great talents that the Yankees and Red Sox are getting that the other teams can't sign?
The one benefit big market teams have started to get over the small market teams is that they are now starting to spend a lot more money on scouting and developing players. That certainly is an area that they have an advantage, but to say they have a big advantage over the small market teams in the draft isn't supported by the evidence.
Through in the fact that the MLB draft is by far the biggest crap shoot of all the leagues and it isn't that big of an advantage if the big market teams were getting the highest touted guys anyways, since they rarely turn out better than 13th round picks.