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Old 08-28-2009, 01:10 AM   #11
First Lady
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan View Post
So, some inferences....

23% undecided, 19% WRA, 22% Liberal.... those numbers add up to 64%. Assuming the PCs get most of the remaining vote (with, let's say, 3% to Green and others), then they're still polling at around 31%.

With only 2 weeks left, that's a pretty healthy lead, actually. The 23% undecided is a little weird, but it probably just means that a lot of voters either haven't heard enough from a compelling alternative or aren't interested in the election--and either way, most of those people are unlikely to vote. Also, history suggests that late deciders break for the party in power.

To be honest, those poll numbers look like good news for the PCs.
A 12% drop in 2 months is quite significant and this was done before most became aware of the huge deficit situation.

The undecided going up means they are shifting their thinking.

People are moving their voting intentions; more are undecided and 7% have shifted from the PC's to the WAP.
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