I meant to post more in this thread but now it's already election day.
Really interesting campaign. Technology has played a big roll in the young, reformist movement just as it did in the US election, but surprise, surprise, the nation's text-networking network is down today. But Mousavi's campaign seems to have a lot of momentum, and his most recent rally was the largest rally of any kind since the formation of the Republic 30 years ago.
I think it's pretty much a guarantee that there will be some vote tampering, but Mousavi can still win if he gets maybe 55% of the real votes. I'd be surprised if any side won on the first ballot though.
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