Never lost a set to Del Potro (his Semi-Final opponent) in five matches. Beat him 6-3, 6-4 at Madrid three weeks ago, as well as last year at Madrid (the only two clay matches).
Lost one set (in 2005) in 9 career matches vs Soderling. Beat him in Madrid 6-1, 7-5. Has defeated him 4 times on clay.
12-1 vs Gonzalez. Beat him last year at the French Open 2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 6-4. Beat him in 2005 at the French Open 7-6, 7-5, 6-2.
So 26-1 against his potential three opponents. 14-0 on clay against said opponents. I'd say he's got a pretty good chance.
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