Quote:
Originally Posted by Devils'Advocate
I doubt that, and I doubt your strategy would work. Bombing Iran into the ground will take the progressives, the youth/students, the women that have been backing Mohammed Khatami in an effort to throw Ahmadinejad out on his ear, and destroy any progress they have made against Ahmadinejads policies. Unfortunately, with Khatami's backout out of the election, it looks like Ahmadinejad, despite his incredibly low popularity numbers, will gain another term.
There is a silent revolution going on in Iran. It's small things. The traditionalists hard-liners have banned Valentines day, but many young people ignore the laws and buy heart-shaped-boxes of chocolates and flowers for their girlfriends anyway. Following the religious orders of their religious leaders isn't their way of life. It doesn't control them.
But if you carpet bomb their country, it will.
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If Iran ever decides to first strike, which is probably the only reason why the American's would go to war with them, then the silent revolution doesn't matter, Moderates trying to take over it won't matter.
The assumption is that Iran's model of attack would be a WMD strike on Israel, which means that America would respond in kind.
If America had wanted to go to war with Iran in a conventional way they had lots of opportunities by now with the funding and encouragement of various terrorist groups.
America knows that they could never occupy Iran, the insurgency there would be a hundred times what they've seen in Iraq.
It would be a standoff war, Iran as a nation and a country with the ability to bear and support life would cease to exist 15 minutes after any nuclear attack on Israel.
Nothing taller then 3 feet would be left standing.