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Old 07-12-2005, 12:11 PM   #10
MarchHare
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If the issue was the war in Iraq and they were going to pull out anyway why were they bombed?
Who knows? I don't really understand the logic of terrorists anyway...perhaps it was a revenge attack of some sort for merely being in Iraq?

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The previous government was leading in the polls, the bombing occured and then the opposition party won.
Do you have a source for that? I'm pretty sure the opposition was leading in the polls prior to the bombing.

EDIT: I found a source that showed the existing government had a slight lead in polls before the attacks, but they would have been reduced from a majority government to a minority if the polling had been accurate. Even before the bombing their support had plummetted from the previous election.

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But the assumption that terrorists successfully brought about Aznar's defeat in Spain is questionable. Even if the Madrid terrorist attacks had not occurred, polls show that the election would have been very close. Opinion polls taken before the attack showed the Populist Party's lead over the rival Socialist Party to be between as few as three percentage points and as many as six percentage points -- figures at or near the statistical margin of error.
http://mediamatters.org/items/200407150007

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If they had the same attitude as the Brits the opposite would be true.
What's Blair's support at currently? Has any poll been published showing his party to have either gained or lost support since the London attacks?

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If they got bombed they would redouble their efforts and not be intimidated rather than throwing up their hands.
IIRC, the Spanish authorities were quite quick at capturing those responsable for the train bombings. Since Iraq has nothing at all to do with Al Qaeda, it's incorrect to state that Spain threw in the towel with respect to counter-terrorism by pulling out of Iraq.
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