Quote:
Originally Posted by HelloHockeyFans
You should never, ever check the nuts... always throw a bet because well, you have the nuts... you either get a caller or you get a shover who runs into a wall... for this situation, I actually think the other guys may have sensed they were beat... he bet the flop and c-betted the turn... leaving himself with $100 and then... checked the river... he absolutely has to bet the pot in this scenario... give them pot odds and two pair likely folds and flush guy probably raises... hero shoves and flush guy calls since he's pot committed at that point.
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This. Some of you are overanalyzing this scenario, IF you have the nuts at the river, you bet always and that is the one poker rule you should never ever break.
How much you should bet, well, that's another question - if you think someone will go in heavy, you bet weak to sucker him in, if you think everyone but you is weak, you bet to make the pot odds too attractive for them to fold, and if you're playing with a bunch of freakin' lunatics, you bet heavy and wait for them to follow. What you don't do, ever, is give them the chance to see the nuts for free.
The psychology rationalization behind checking ignores that if someone is going to bluff hard or go all-in with what they think is a winner, they are MORE likely to do so if they see a weak bet rather than a check, because there is more money to win and thus a higher payoff. If I am contemplating risking $200 to win $600, I am even more likely to risk $200 to win $650 or $675.
The whole point of poker is to force the other guy to BET when you have him beat, not to hope someone is going to pick the wrong time to bluff you. There is a time for checking with a strong hand, but it isn't on the river when you are a guaranteed winner.