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Old 03-19-2009, 08:42 AM   #22
Canada 02
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^well, its not "80 road trips". It has already been mentioned that each team that flies into Abbotsford will play a double-header, so 40 home games, but likely only 20 trips in. Also, when Abbotsford is on the road, they will likely go on 3-5 game road trips, so 40 games on the road, but maybe only 10 trips.

They don't fly commercial, they likely charter with Westjet (as suggested in one of the articles) who already fly into Abbotsford. Regardless, using your $15,000 estimate, for the combined 30 trips (20 in and 10 out) the cost is $450,000.

The average ticket price is going to be around $20 (not including concessions, souvenirs, parking etc). So to just make up the $450K travel cost, they will need an 22500 fans per season, or 562 fans per game. Apparently QC needed ~4000 fans/game to break even, so Abbotsford might need ~4600. Pretty lofty considering league average attendance is ~4900, but doable.

I'm sure I messed up on numbers or made to many assumptions, but some number crunching helps put things in perspective

really, if they can sellout, it'll work. If they can attract a cluster of teams to relocate over the 10 year contract so that they share the travel subsidy over several clubs, it works even better. Long term, obviously, but i'm sure that is what they are thinking. someone has to be the trail blazer

Last edited by Canada 02; 03-19-2009 at 08:46 AM.
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