I suspect Rathje's scenario above should swap minority for majority. People are unhappy with the undemocratic coalition insanity however they are equally unhappy with the perceived bullying Harper has done and that puts him on shaky ground.
I happened to catch Rick Bell on City this morning and I felt he brought up a telling point. Harper was unable to win a majority running against a guy who couldn't string together two sentences in our primary language and had a ridiculous platform, how will he fair against someone who can speak and has a clue? Dumping Dion the dufus and replacing him with Ignatieff will win back a bunch of support The Libs had. Also Harper, while avoiding the direct blast of fecal matter, still isn't clean in this whole thing and lots of people won't forget it.
No matter what we think out here, there is a large portion of the country who don't want Stevie to run things. Yes, if there were an election today, he'd win in a landslide, however things will calm down. Dion the dufus will go back to Puffin farming or whatever he does, the budget will get through, Ignatieff will get anointed party leader, have time to rebuild the party, and at some future date an election will be called and then we'll see what happens. I think Stevie would have a big fight on his hands in that next election but we'll see what happens between now and then.
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