Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobblehead
I think the CPC got around 10 seats in Quebec the last election, and with the anti-Quebec rhetoric around this issue, I think they lose most of those in the next election. Where can the CPC make up those lost seats plus the extra they need for a majority?
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Another interesting issue.
From what I can tell, this whole thing has really ticked off people in Alberta in Saskatchewan, but the Conservatives can't gain any ground in those provinces anyway, so all that anger will go for nought if another election is held soon. Harper's comments have alienated people in Quebec, so I think the Conservatives can expect to lose a few seats in that province, with the BQ being the major benefactor. I don't see the actions of the NDP and Liberals allowing them to gain strength, and unless they run as a coalition they'll still be splitting the votes of the left leaning. However, it would seem that lots of people in central Canada find the actions of the coalition no more offensive than some of the Conservatives' budget proposals (or Harper himself), so I wouldn't expect the Liberals/NDP to lose much ground in Ontario either.
Basically, it seems to me that another election could well impose another minority Conservative government. Assuming, of course, there isn't a leadership change within the Liberal party and a formal coalition with the NDP going into a new election. That would throw everything out of whack. As might a change in the Conservative leadership.