I just want to mention about this 15 MP defection thing: I have NEVER been in favour of an MP crossing the floor to sit as an MP for another party after having been elected as a member in another one. That to me is completely wrong. I was against it with Stronach, and I was against it with Emerson. However, MPs defecting to become Independents, is completely different, so long as they are listening to their constituents best wishes.
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