1. (5 points) I predict that the total popular vote share will be:
Obama 55 McCain 45
2. (5 points) I predict that the total electoral college vote will be:
Obama 364 McCain 174
3. Here are my "swing state" predictions (1 point each):
1. Virginia--Obama
2. North Carolina--Obama
3. New Hampshire--Obama
4. Ohio--Obama
5. Indiana--Obama
6. Florida--Obama
7. Colorado--Obama
8. Nevada --Obama
9. New Mexico--Obama
10. Missouri--McCain
11. Wisconsin--Obama
12. Minnesota--Obama
13. Iowa--Obama
14. Pennsylvania--Obama
15. West Virginia--McCain
4. My "Wild Card" pick is that Arizona will go to Obama (15 points)
5. Predict which state will be subject to a recount or protracted legal battle
Indiana
Polls are underestimating Obama support. That is all.
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