Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobblehead
Interesting site
http://www.nodice.ca/elections/canada/projections.php
Depending upon the poll, in the last 5 days it looks like the CPC would have anywhere between 125 seats (Election Prediction Project) and 152 seats (Ekos Research Assoc).
All over the map. It'll be interesting to see which is more accurate. |
It really depends on which way Ontario breaks. I'd be pretty confident that ultimately the numbers will move ahead for the CPC in Ontario. That will counteract their likely blowout in Quebec but wont see any net seat increases. I think it's safe to assume they'll be reduced to at least 2 seats if not 0 in Quebec. They will probably pick up between 8-10 in Ontario.
The lynchpin of the election seems to be in BC where they will need to win seats from the NDP and Liberals. Tough task when the NDP is polling really close to them.
My prediction is 120. But who knows, a majority isn't out of the question depending on a large percentage of closet independents who will vote out of fear of recession for the party they believe will manage the economy best. In that situation CPC wins big.