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Originally Posted by octothorp
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Thanks, that helps a lot.
Looking over those, it looks like the only party to gain strength in more than one region is the NDP. Green votes will likely shift somewhat to ND and Liberals to-morrow--if they actually get 10% of the vote, I'll be pretty surprised. So accounting for vote-splitting, incumbency and so on--I foresee very little change. I think the Liberals (who are the one party to LOSE strength in more than one region) will lose some seats, with the Conservatives and NDP splitting them up depending on where they are.
The Liberals' Ontario numbers ought to be of particular concern to Dion--they got nearly 40% in 2006, but are now polling at around 33%. If there's a big shift, that's where it will be.