Looks like things have leveled off in recent polls (at least on a national level), with the Tories between 30 and 34, and the Liberals between 26 and 30. In the Nanos polls (traditionally the most accurate, but I don't really believe them here), the NDP are up to 35% in the maritimes and 19% in Quebec, while Harris-Decima shows them at 22 and 7 in the two regions.
Right now, I'd say that the Conservatives will make gains in BC, but suffer more or less offsetting losses in Atlantic Canada. There won't be much movement at all on the prairies, and now that the Bloc looks to be on solid ground, the Conservatives will be hard-pressed to pick up any ground. Which means, just as it does almost every election, that this election comes down to Ontario (and when I say 'comes down to' I mean the difference between a CPC minority with more seats, a CPC minority with the same number of seats, or a CPC minority with fewer seats).
In Ontario, Nanos had an almost 10 point Liberal lead a few days ago, but that's dropped down to 1. Harris Decima shows it tightening from 4 to 2. Even in a best-case scenario for the Conservatives, I can see them picking up a maximum of 13 in Ontario and losing at least 2. That would bring the Conservatives in around the high 130s.
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