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Originally Posted by octothorp
That is an interesting question; I don't think there's any way that the Conservatives lose this election, but that doesn't mean that the Conservatives shouldn't consider a leadership review. The only PM to have two consecutive minority governments stepped down before the next election. I'd put it to the Conservative supporters on this board: how many seats does Harper need to win to secure his job for another full term? 110? 130? 154? Would anyone within the party vocally call for him to step down while he's still PM?
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I wouldn't be surprised at all actually...Personally I liked Peter MacKay more even back in the merger days...I have no doubt we would be under a Conservative majority right now if he was the one running the ship.
The problem with Sweater Steve has always been personality, he's a great leader & he means well, but he just can't wipe that awkward devil eye grin off his face when he tries wayyy too hard. That's the major thing that turns off a lot of voters on the edge I think.
I think anything short of a majority this time would likely trigger a leadership review sometime next year. As for Harper being able to finish his full term, that'd largely depend on the Liberal leadership review, i.e. when is Dion getting the boot from his own party. As soon as a competent leader is chosen for the Grits, Harper's minority would be toast.