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Originally Posted by transplant99
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The polls this next week will be very interesting, to see if these trends bear out into general polling, particularly in Quebec. The two most worrying things for the PCs:
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Furthermore, 20 per cent of respondents said they changed their mind about who to vote for on Oct. 14.
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The Ipsos Reid poll also asked respondents to measure whether their impressions of the leaders improved, or worsened. Pollsters then determined their net score.
Dion was once again on top with a net improvement of 56 per cent, the largest gain among the leaders. Layton improved with a score of 48 per cent, while Duceppe improved by 30 per cent. May's position improved among voters, who scored her with a net gain of 24 per cent. Harper suffered the biggest drop, with 53 per cent finding their impressions worsened.
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Those two stats cited together should be cause for concern. You've gotta think that the vast majority of those 20% who changed their mind have changed their minds away from the Conservatives. Now obviously, even if maybe 15% of people who watched the debate have changed from Conservative voters to another party, this is going to have only a trickle-down effect in the general polls, as debate watchers make up only a small percentage of voters (although I'd guess that it's higher in Francophone populations than in the general public).