Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
Octo, the main reason is the fall of the BQ. The policies of the BQ and NDP are similar in most regards and with that force falling out of favour the NDP are kind of the natural place for those voters to gravitate to. Layton has also been pushing to make inroads there, calling Montreal his home and actually having a few higher profile candidates.
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It`ll be really interesting to see how that plays out. When you look into the ideologies, they really do seem like a good fit with Quebec, and there`s always been a willingness in Quebec to go with the third party, whether it`s Bloc or going back to the So Cred days. And now that into it, Layton has sort of been quietly courting Quebec over the last few years.
If they draw off the Bloc vote, this ultimately helps the Liberals more than the Conservatives, because the Liberals had more 'close second' finishes in Quebec than the Conservatives did. But you'd think that any rise in NDP support would also draw votes away from the Liberals, too. Personally, I don't expect either the Tories or Liberals to lose many seats in Quebec; the question is who gets those Bloc seats as their support dwindles.