By my calculations, it would not matter if the NDP voted with the government. There are 308 seats in the house, but only 307 members, since the guy from Labrardor died. After the Liberal speaker is taken out, it means that there are 306 votes on a confidence motion. The Conservatives have 99 seats, the Bloc 54,combined that is 153. The conservatives just need one of Kilgour, Parrish or Cadman to vote with them, and they have enough to force an election. I think they could get Cadman quite easily. The NDP with 19 and the Liberals with 131 voting members need all three of the independents, and then naturally the speaker would vote with them to sustain the government.
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