View Single Post
Old 09-19-2008, 04:27 PM   #104
Claeren
Franchise Player
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Section 218
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Finner View Post
Actually I'm a huge bear on the current markets. In fact I hold puts on SPY (The S&P depository receipts). He asked for a long term hold though. Its basically impossible to get the right market timing when buying, so just buy when it seems kinda low, and hold for a few years. He will likely make money.

BAC is a high risk pick, agreed. But if they can weather this storm after getting a steal on Merrill Lynch, they can make a huge dent in market share in both banking and investment. Once this financial crisis is over I could easily see them returning to the 50's, not to mention you are getting an 8% dividend right now. If you are that concerned with risk, buy a 32.50 january 09 put with for every 100 shares and it will at least protect your downside.

With the Canadian banks, i'm not to concerned. I wouldn't buy BMO or CM right now, but TD and BNS seem like safe bets. I actually work for one of these banks. I might wait a few weeks to buy them though. If you can get TD at $55 and BNS at low 40's, you are getting a steal.

Commodities are never a bad bet with a growing global population, and china and india coming along as economic powers.

Anyways Phaneuthier is young, and the younger you are, the riskier you should be.
I agree with all of that. You have almost sold me on buying shares in BAC! I didn't realize they had that kind of dividend now (after their recent drop of course). And really the way the US government has been going it is not like they would let them fail now anyways?! haha

The long term prospects on the USD do make me nervous though. Probably more so than many people. I just don't see how they can keep it up in the face of all of this.



Claeren.
Claeren is offline   Reply With Quote