Thread: martin's speech
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Old 04-21-2005, 07:22 PM   #9
Hakan
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Quote:
Originally posted by Mean Mr. Mustard+Apr 21 2005, 05:27 PM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Mean Mr. Mustard @ Apr 21 2005, 05:27 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'> <!--QuoteBegin-Hakan@Apr 21 2005, 05:19 PM
The Conservatives may not have the parliamentary power to call the election. The NDP will likely vote with the government giving the balance of power to Parrish and Cadman. Parrish will obviously vote with the government and Cadman has stated that he would like to see the inquiry completed before parliament is dissolved.
Your making the assumption that the Liberal party will all toe the party line. From the comments coming from a number of MPs that doesn't sound like it would be the case at all. I would suspect that this tactic doesn't really work and we find ourselves, well 50% of ourselves at the polls in a month and a half. [/b][/quote]
There's no way Liberals will vote to bring down the government. That vote will barely need to get whipped. Think about it, they'd be voting for their own political future. It doesn't get much more self interested in that.

The NDP has stated that they will not bring down the government. It isn't in their interest to either. They'd rather wait until the inquiry is over all the while preparing their attack strategy. It's in their interest to get the Liberals to the lowest support possible in hopes of absorbing some of their support and being less vulnerable to strategic anti-conservative voting. The NDP have stagnated at 18 percent in the polls now while the lion share of liberal support has went to the Conservatives. They'd be best to ride it out and hope some of that support comes their way. Otherwise they wont have improved their seat totals.

So, no, the government isn't going to be brought down IMO.
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