Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction
I'm predicting a Liberal/NDP coalition.
No matter what, it won't be a single party majority.
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While in theory, these two parties are the most ideologically similar, in practice, it is a completely different matter. The NDP tends to be a home for those too left to be liberals, anti-corporate types, or are very unionist in their thinking. The Liberals are a massive catch-all of all things centrist to centre-left, as well as being nationalistic, opportunistic, and are historically catholic (which often presents itself). While there are many Liberal lefties, there are lots of neo-libs and catholic neo-cons in their ranks too. As a majority, they get on fine with rigid party solidarity and the ability to wield unchecked power on policy, but if their government's survival meant voting on a far left NDP platform, you can bet they wouldn't go for it, as in many ridings, it could make them unelectable.
This unholy marriage would end the moment something as routine as the Liberals wanting to "even the playing field" for a wounded, non-union, Canadian private sector occurs. Be it through competitive corporate tax, loopholes, subsidies or incentives. NDP are very anti-corporate welfare, while the Liberals see purpose in it.
I highly doubt a majority government too. I think the CPC will get closer though... snapping up a couple more Quebec seats, and maybe a shocker or two in Vancouver, Toronto or Montreal. The rest will be left and centre-left seats swapping hands in said major centres, as well as the BQ continuing to lose relevancy and seats.