Agree with Octothorp. Iran knows how to play the media but they know there is a line they won't cross hence they risk an attack by the US or Israel. If anything, I bet Israel will attack Iran first before the US does.
The other situation I think could spark something is in the Balkans (seems like they are always the powder keg). New Kosovo constitution kicks in and the Russians aren't happy about it. Also, Russia has been feeling jilted for awhile now by its former satellite states attempting to join NATO, a real blow to National pride. Also, issues with the Missile Defence shield and growing Petrochemical competition in places like Africa. Interesting times we live in
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