Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunderball
I don't think the primary turnout is indicative of anything except the fact that Republicans aren't enamored with their candidates. That's not necessarily a bad thing for them though.
I don't think we can predict election turnout by primaries... if faced with the "grim reality" of President Obama, the Republican voters will more than likely hold their nose and vote for the Republican candidate.
The trick is to convince the independents and swings.
If it gets into a Foreign Policy debate, Obama will get handed. Running away from a quagmire will only make a bigger problem with America's fingerprints all over it. History would record President Obama's withdrawal as starting the Iraqi Civil War, as well as President Bush's invasion.
Personally I think Obama is an idealist's candidate. In the days of pragmatism, he might winning this primary much simpler than winning the presidency.
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We are actually seeing that, strangely enough, there are a significant number of republicans that are much more offended by Clinton than by Obama... and there are many republicans who really don't like John McCain.
Obama is the president the US needs to get them back on their feet. McCain will be Bush 2.0... maybe mildly better.
Clinton would be a good president I think but I believe she would be divisive and be unable to unite the country properly.
The supporters of Barack Obama are widely varied, great in number, and very passionate. 8% of the voters in the democratic primary in Virginia last night were republicans. 72% of those republicans who voted in the Virgina democratic primary supported Obama. Interesting statistic.
I just don't see how McCain would have any hope of defeating Obama in a general election. McCain is pro war and Obama draws significant voters from all segments of the population. That's the end of the discussion.