I don't think the primary turnout is indicative of anything except the fact that Republicans aren't enamored with their candidates. That's not necessarily a bad thing for them though.
I don't think we can predict election turnout by primaries... if faced with the "grim reality" of President Obama, the Republican voters will more than likely hold their nose and vote for the Republican candidate.
The trick is to convince the independents and swings.
If it gets into a Foreign Policy debate, Obama will get handed. Running away from a quagmire will only make a bigger problem with America's fingerprints all over it. History would record President Obama's withdrawal as starting the Iraqi Civil War, as well as President Bush's invasion.
Personally I think Obama is an idealist's candidate. In the days of pragmatism, he might winning this primary much simpler than winning the presidency.
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