Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
McCain's opportunity was in 2000--and he lost. American politics is not exactly the land of second chances. He'll lose the general election for the same reason Bob Dole did--because a moderate republican can't compete for liberals with a moderate Democrat, and he'll fail to energize the GOP base in crucial swing states.
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Nixon is an example of second chances... and is republican.
I think the most energizing factor for the Republican party at this point is actually the nomination on the Democrat side. If Clinton gets the Democrat nomination, I see the Republican base thinking that even though McCain isnt right enough for their liking, they have to support him to avoid Clinton getting into office. Obama isnt as disliked by the right as Clinton and probably wouldnt cause the same type of reaction.
If McCain receives the support of the Republican base, I think he wins easily. Hilary is too left for many moderates and the battle between her and Obama is creating a divide in that party. Plus McCain is moderate enough to even attract some Democrats who are scared of Hilary.