[llama64]

Originally Posted by First Lady

Actually, yes. This graph illustrates the possibility very well.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:A...elections2.gif

Alberta has a history of changing governments very quickly and always to a party that has never reigned before.

Alberta has also received a massive influx of new voters since then. These new voters grew up under a different electoral culture.

I still maintain my scepticism that any party other then the Liberals or a party with the word (Conservative) in it can be elected in Alberta. The rural vote isn't as powerful as it used to be, and the cities want more then the standard bickering with the Federal government that has become trademarked by parties advertising an Alberta first position.

If Stelmach comes out in this campaign with a solid plan and eases Albertan's doubts about his ability to lead properly, he'll cruise to another landslide. Otherwise he'll lose a lot of seats to the Liberals. This new party I think has a shot at about 4-8 seats max this time around.