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Old 01-08-2008, 09:57 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blankall View Post
Most polls do show the democrats ahead regardless of whether Obama or Clinton wins. You're right that Obama does seem to face off a little better against Guiliani. I think the thing w/ Obama is that he tends to reflect better in the polls than in the actual election. Polls prior to tonight had him ahead about 10 points on Hillary. A major thing not taken into consideration here is the female vote tends to be underrepresented in polls.

I really don't think that having Hillary as the democratic nomination in any way guarantees a republican victory. In fact, quite the opposite. IMHO there are just too many females out there not to have a Hillary victory. Also, the democrat vote right now is very much split while the republican vote is more unified. This means that once there is only one democrat candidate we will see more unification behind Hillary.

I agree that "diehard" democrats are her base, but that does not mean she won't reach out to other democrats.

All in all I think we will see a democrat victory w/ Hillary as the next president of the United States.

How do you figure the Republican vote is more unified? You have Giuliani, Romney, McCain and Huckabee...heck even Thompson polling in double digits in some places.

The dems have 3 candidates splitting the vote.

Both are far from unified.
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