It's only been predicted since 2001. Hell, I predicted it in 2001, and I couldn't find my own ass with both hands.
The only people who are surprised by this are probably the Bush administration.
Turkey will eventually invade, the Kurds will declare an independent Kurdistan, and the UN will wind up with peacekeepers in there for the next half century. Meanwhile the US will pull out of Iraq by 2009, and the Shiae majority will get back to ethnic cleansing against the Sunnis.
Pretty clear right from the get go what a power vacuum would result in.
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"Isles give up 3 picks for 5.5 mil of cap space.
Oilers give up a pick and a player to take on 5.5 mil."
-Bax
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