All the polls I've seen recently point to yet another (Conservative) minority government if an election were called today. Unless Harper really thinks he can pick up 10% or more popular support in the election campaign, a Fall election does the CPC no good. As terrible a leader as Dion is, the majority of the Canadian population have political views that are moderately left-of-center; look no further than McGuinty's huge election win in Ontario with religious school funding being the defining issue of that campaign. If Harper wants a majority, he'll have to move far enough to the middle to appeal to voters in all regions and in the process sell out the ideals of the Western conservatives who provide the base of his support.
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