The New York Times, considered a Bush enemy, has been uncommonly upbeat about the outcome of this election.
Early results have Allawi trailing the cleric-backed alliance.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6906895/
However, as per the Times a few days ago, the bargaining between the various parties has only just begun and it may still end up that Allawi stays where he is until the final election in December, basically a front man to take the blame in case things go wrong.
Also, the cleric alliance isn't rock solid either.
But . . . . that's normal politicking
Cowperson