Hockey Prognosticating #18 (NHL) - Denver Open - congrats bomber317

[GirlySports]

Hockey Prognosticating – Denver Open





http://www.history.com/images/media/slideshow/colorado/colorado-denver-skyline.jpg



What is Hockey Prognosticating?

In the game, participants pick the winners of a set of hockey games in a particular week and are placed in a knock-out system. Beat your opponent and move onto to the next round. It's easy, all you have to do is predict the winner of the match, the margin, and sometimes the score for a set of games listed.

Note:

- In case of a tie, a tie-breaker featuring winning margins or correct score will decide who moves on to the next round.


How to Sign-Up:

Just post here that you would like to play ("Im IN"). Entries will be based on The HPT rankings from two weeks prior. If you don't have a ranking, you can begin one! Anyone can enter! :D

How to send in picks:

Picks can be sent in as soon as the "GAME LIST" is ready. Remember, you pick a winner in every game on the list! Picks should be sent by PM, so that your opponent does not know your picks. Picks should be titled: [HPT: Denver 1st Round]. Picks must be sent in by the deadline stated in the GAME LIST.

How the GAME LIST Works


EXPLANATION:
GAME LIST
VANCOUVER at WINNIPEG MA2
EDMONTON at CALGARY MA1 PTS
Game with MA after it's name - Pick the winner and the margin (Ex: WINNIPEG 2)
Game with PTS after it's name - Pick the correct score (Ex: CALGARY 6-3)

[GirlySports]

Fact Sheet

http://images.pictureshunt.com/pics/d/denver_nuggets_pepsi_center-9815.jpg


Location: Denver, Colorado
Type: National Hockey League (NHL)
Date: February 24-March 1, 2011
League website: http://www.nhl.com (http://www.nhl.com/)

Entry Deadline: Thursday February 23 @ 5:59pm Mountain Time
Draw size: 16

HPT RANKING POINTS
Winner....625
Finalist....350
Semifinalist....210
Quarterfinalist....110
First Round....60

[GirlySports]

Post 3 :)

[GirlySports]

Please sign-up http://imgsrv2.tennisuniverse.com/mtf/images/smilies/hug.gif

[devo22]

I'm in!

[Montana Moe]

Sure, why not?

[ineedanother]

I'm in

[Hockey]

I'm in

[OffsideSpecialist]

I'll play again.

[PlayfulGenius]

Me too :)

[bomber317]

in

[CofR]

In!

[GirlySports]

Closed.

We have 8!

Draw will be made tonight, Quarterfinal will be on Saturday (with an early deadline)

[GirlySports]

THE DRAW

We have 8 teams. Two are seeded

1. PlayfulGenius
2. CofR

The other 6 teams will be drawn randomly.

There were 6 items in your list. Here they are in random order:


Montana Moe
Hockey
OffsideSpecialist
bomber317
ineedanother
devo22

Timestamp: 2012-02-24 05:53:25 UTC

Quarterfinals


[1]PlayfulGenius vs Montana Moe
Hockey vs OffsideSpecialist
bomber317 vs ineedanother
devo22 vs [2]CofR

[GirlySports]

Quarterfinal Game List (Saturday 11 games)

TB LIGHTNING VS PITTSBURGH MA11
ST LOUIS VS WINNIPEG MA10
PHOENIX VS EDMONTON MA9
BUFFALO VS NY RANGERS MA8
COLORADO VS DETROIT MA7
WASHINGTON VS TORONTO MA6
BOSTON VS OTTAWA MA5
CHICAGO VS LA KINGS MA4
FLORIDA VS CAROLINA MA3
SJ SHARKS VS NASHVILLE MA2
PHILADELPHIA VS CALGARY MA1

Note: For this tournament there will be no PTS. If a matchup is tied on differences and margins, there will be a tiebreaker the following day.

PMs picks to Girlysports by SAT FEB 25 @ 11AM Mountain

[ineedanother]

You have PHI playing NAS, I believe the game should be PHI and CAL

[GirlySports]

Fixed and thank you :)

[GirlySports]

QUARTERFINAL DIFFERENCES!

http://i784.photobucket.com/albums/yy129/degenerasian/HPTDENVERQF1.jpg

http://i784.photobucket.com/albums/yy129/degenerasian/HPTDENVERQF2.jpg

All even numbered differences so it'll be close :)

[PlayfulGenius]

Interesting that I picked the Blues... I think the Jets are gonna win that game... I'm anticipating a very exciting, close game with the Jets pulling it out and their fans going crazy.

If I end up losing, it better be because the Flames beat the Flyers :)

[PlayfulGenius]

Well, I'm right so far... 2-2 going into a shoot-out... Jets have played great.

[Hockey]

Looks like it will come down to the Flames between me and offside.

[PlayfulGenius]

Coming down to PHI-CGY for me and Moe as well... what happens if PHI wins by more than 1?

Neither of us have any margins, so what is the tie-breaker?

[GirlySports]

Coming down to PHI-CGY for me and Moe as well... what happens if PHI wins by more than 1?

Neither of us have any margins, so what is the tie-breaker?

The tiebreaker is tomorrow (the 4 night games).

[PlayfulGenius]

Well, this is awkward... I'm not going to watch the game tonight... a PHI win helps me here, plus I'm one of 'those' that wants Feaster's decision to sell off UFA contracts at the deadline... so I'd best just not watch tonight's game.

[GirlySports]

PlayfulGenius & Montana Moe split differences, PG wins 2 margins to 1 (STL 1, PHI 1 vs STL 1)
Hockey def. OffisideSpecialist 3 differences to 1
bomber317 def. ineedanother 3 differences to 1
devo22 & CofR split differences, devo22 wins 2 margins to 1 (PHX 2, BOS 2 vs FLO 1)

[GirlySports]

SEMIFINALS

[1] PlayfulGenius vs Hockey
bomber317 vs devo22

Semifinal Gamelist (Tuesday 9 games)

OTTAWA VS BOSTON MA9
FLORIDA VS TORONTO MA8
NYISLANDERS VS WASHINGTON MA7
NASHVILLE VS CAROLINA MA6
DETROIT VS COLUMBUS MA5
MONTREAL VS TB LIGHTNING MA4
LA KINGS VS MINNESOTA MA3
PHILADELPHIA VS SJ SHARKS MA2
VANCOUVER VS PHOENIX MA1

PM picks to GirlySports by TUE FEB 28 @ 5pm Mountain

[GirlySports]

SEMIFINAL DIFFERENCES!

http://i784.photobucket.com/albums/yy129/degenerasian/HPTDENVERSF2.jpg

[bomber317]

Down to the Phoenix/Vancouver game!

[Hockey]

I hope I lose now due to me having a chance to win more money.

[GirlySports]

I hope I lose now due to me having a chance to win more money.

HEH..

So bomber317/devo22 comes down to the vancouver/phoenix game

PG/Hockey tied their differences. PG has one margin correct (WAS 1)
Hockey needs a late margin to win. SJ 2 or VAN 2

[PlayfulGenius]

Damn, its weird that I picked Toronto here... I had money on the Panthers.

[Hockey]

HEH..

So bomber317/devo22 comes down to the vancouver/phoenix game

PG/Hockey tied their differences. PG has one margin correct (WAS 1)
Hockey needs a late margin to win. SJ 2 or VAN 2

I bet on the Canucks game to go to OT, so if they win by 2 I will lose out on $5. However if the score stays the same then that really sucks.

[bomber317]

seems like a lot of us put money on teams we didn't pick here.

I put money on Ott to beat Boston.

I really hope Phoenix beats Vancouver, just so I can use the line "That's what you get for picking the stupid Canucks". :whistle: Nothing against devo22.

[Hockey]

Damn, its weird that I picked Toronto here... I had money on the Panthers.

Ya I bet on the Panthers too and the Sens.

[PlayfulGenius]

Ya I bet on the Panthers too and the Sens.

Haha, nice... I bet Sens and Coyotes as well... But also Minny :(

[GirlySports]

Finalists are PlayfulGenius vs bomber317!

Can the newbie win 2 weeks in a row or will the #1 teach him a lesson?

[PlayfulGenius]

seems like a lot of us put money on teams we didn't pick here.

I put money on Ott to beat Boston.

I really hope Phoenix beats Vancouver, just so I can use the line "That's what you get for picking the stupid Canucks". :whistle: Nothing against devo22.

I bet for value, not who I think will win, necessarily.

Ex. If I think the Panthers have a 40 percent of winning, and the payyout +155 or higher, I make the bet.

[bomber317]

I bet for value, not who I think will win, necessarily.

Ex. If I think the Panthers have a 40 percent of winning, and the payyout +155 or higher, I make the bet.

I'm always torn on the "value" bets. Does the math work out for you at the end? I don't have a large enough data set to see if it pays off when the odds are mismatched.

[GirlySports]

FINAL

[1]PlayfulGenius vs bomber317

FINAL GAMELIST THURSDAY 9 GAMES

NJ DEVILS VS BOSTON MA9
NY ISLANDERS VS PHILADELPHIA MA8
NY RANGERS VS CAROLINA MA7
MINNESOTA VS MONTREAL MA6
CALGARY VS PHOENIX MA5
COLUMBUS VS COLORADO MA4
BUFFALO VS SJ SHARKS MA3
ST LOUIS VS VANCOUVER MA2
FLORIDA VS WINNIPEG MA1

Picks to GirlySports by THU MAR 1 @ 5pm Mountain

[PlayfulGenius]

I'm always torn on the "value" bets. Does the math work out for you at the end? I don't have a large enough data set to see if it pays off when the odds are mismatched.

Ya, I have a very involved system that's new for me this season. I analyze every game and place bets on those that meet my criteria (works out to half the games, pretty well, so I think I need some refinement to the system)...

... I'm up for the season thus far, but less than I projected to be, so my process needs some refinement.

Assuming I get it to work as I desire, I'm going to start a thread in here so others can copy me if they choose, that'd be fun :)

EDIT : I also track every single game played, even the ones that I don't bet one, to track if the 'odds' I calculate are accurate throughout the season... I have it automated now so it only takes be about 40 minutes per day to keep everything updated.

[bomber317]

Good Luck tomorrow.

My criteria for picking single games on betting sites are too loose.

My criteria for picking Sports Select is too tight, so I have very few tickets.

But I'm up on Sports select about 13 bets. Was up about 25 bets, but I've run into a long string of incorrect pics.

And I'm down on single games because I just play too many games.

[GirlySports]

FINAL DIFFERENCES

PlayfulGenius
NJ DEVILS (1)
PHILADELPHIA (3)
NY RANGERS (3)
MINNESOTA (3)
PHOENIX (1)
COLUMBUS (1)
SJ SHARKS (1)
ST LOUIS (1)
FLORIDA (1)

bomber317
BOS 1
PHI 1
NYR 1
MTL 1
CAL 1
COLO 1
SJ 1
VAN 1
WPG 1

Differences (PG's picks listed first)
NJ/BOS
MIN/MTL
PHX/CAL
COL/COLO
STL/VAN
FLO/WPG

6 differences!

[PlayfulGenius]

Did Bomber317 win the last tournament?

[GirlySports]

Yes

[GirlySports]

bomber317 hits the first 3 differences

Boston, Montreal and Winnipeg.

PG needs the last 3!

[PlayfulGenius]

Well, that was ugly... Congrats bomber!

After that betting talk as well, I had a horrible night. I'd quadrupled my money so far this year over almost 200 bets, and losing 7 heavy bets in a row over the past 2 nights has me with only 40 percent of my original capitol left... That Stings.