Rube's 2016 NFL Gambling Odyssey

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by Weitz

Have thoughts on why?

I like DFS because I never win or lose big. Haha. I think I took home $40 after last NFL season.

I went 10 for 16 in my work pick 'em pool, good for 13th place.. Usually thats a winning score!

Not sure. Just don't want to spend too much money on gambling haha. I'm playing in a couple of free Yahoo pools this weekend.

[rubecube]

Jesus, what a bloodbath.

[rubecube]

Some really bizarre spreads to open the week. I jumped on SD +2.5 @ +105 and SF +9.5. That SF/SEA spread is about 2 points too high and the Colts shouldn't be favoured over anyone at the moment.

[Weitz]

What site (i imagine you do this online) do you use Rube? I'm on a few and can't seem to pick a favorite haha.

[rubecube]

I use Pinnacle. It usually has the least amount of juice but slim-pickings if you're interested in props or futures.

[Displaced Flames fan]

That Broncos D is good for 8 wins regardless of what the offense does.

The offense is markedly better through 2 weeks as well. If Siemian keeps improving....

I think you're already sunk on the under 9.5 frankly.

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by Displaced Flames fan

That Broncos D is good for 8 wins regardless of what the offense does.

The offense is markedly better through 2 weeks as well. If Siemian keeps improving....

I think you're already sunk on the under 9.5 frankly.

Meh, the first two weeks are largely a crapshoot. Let's see if Siemian can keep it going when teams get film on him and aren't playing with a depleted secondary like the Colts were. Like I said, there were a lot of metrics out there that pointed to the Broncos regressing. If they don't, then so be it. You generally win more than you lose when you pay attention to those stats.

[rubecube]

Think I did HOU pk but can't remember haha

[rubecube]

Last week was an absolute beatdown for me. 4-8 for the week brings me to 11-14 for the season. Hopefully I can recover this week. Podcast is on the shelf for now because the dude I was going to do it with is quitting drinking and thinks football talk triggers him or some ####. Anyways...

HOU -pk (L)
DEN +3.5
BAL -1
GB -7
PHI +3.5
CAR -7
NYG -3.5
SD +2.5
SF +9.5

[Sylvanfan]

Well a big time back door move by Detroit leaves you at 3-5-1 for the week. I dont think I would have picked the Iggles, but would have had Minny. I also had the Jets and Cards covering....yeah good ones there. At least I was on the Raiders.

[rubecube]

Atl +2.5

[Weitz]

Atlanta never wins in NO

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by Weitz

Atlanta never wins in NO

They won there two years ago.

[calgarygeologist]

One more week and I'm giving up on betting. I have been horrible in my Pick'em pool this year and even worse when betting on spreads. I just can't figure things out this year.

[Weitz]

Originally Posted by rubecube

They won there two years ago.

Haha NO is like 8-10. But doesn't look good tonight!0

[Sylvanfan]

Anything look enticing this week Rube?

I like a couple of road favorites in Carolina and Denver this week.
I dislike favoring the Chargers, but I think them at home with 3.5 points against the Saints looks enticing.

Like always...I like the team playing the Chiefs to beat the spread...but far from objective there. Although Pittsburgh at home after an awful game with LeVeon Bell returning against a team who's offence has been garbage in 11 of the 12 plus quarters they've played, maybe does hold logic. I don't see Big Ben being Oprah with the ball like Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Chiefs aren't generating any real pass rush these days.

[calgarygeologist]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

Anything look enticing this week Rube?

I like a couple of road favorites in Carolina and Denver this week.
I dislike favoring the Chargers, but I think them at home with 3.5 points against the Saints looks enticing.

Like always...I like the team playing the Chiefs to beat the spread...but far from objective there. Although Pittsburgh at home after an awful game with LeVeon Bell returning against a team who's offence has been garbage in 11 of the 12 plus quarters they've played, maybe does hold logic. I don't see Big Ben being Oprah with the ball like Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Chiefs aren't generating any real pass rush these days.

I'm waiting to see a line on the BUF/NE game. It doesn't seem like sportbooks know what to do with that game yet. I think BUF could take down NE.

[Sylvanfan]

Same with the Jets and Seahawks. Although at this point unless the over under is 16.5, I'm probably going with the Under in that game.

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

Anything look enticing this week Rube?

I like a couple of road favorites in Carolina and Denver this week.
I dislike favoring the Chargers, but I think them at home with 3.5 points against the Saints looks enticing.

Like always...I like the team playing the Chiefs to beat the spread...but far from objective there. Although Pittsburgh at home after an awful game with LeVeon Bell returning against a team who's offence has been garbage in 11 of the 12 plus quarters they've played, maybe does hold logic. I don't see Big Ben being Oprah with the ball like Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Chiefs aren't generating any real pass rush these days.

I really like MIN -4 at home against the Giants. That defense is exactly the type of defense that turns Eli into a pumpkin. I also like the Steelers and feel like that line would've been 7 had they not had that beatdown against the Eagles last week, so it's a good value pick. I think this is also the last week you're going to catch the books giving the Broncos -3 against bad teams. Also have no idea why DAL is only -2 against a terrible SF team but it feels like bait.

[rubecube]

Apparently dogs are nearly 60% ATS this year.