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Old 03-14-2017, 04:57 PM   #61
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Maybe read what you posted again?? Written communication, also very difficult...
Yeah, maybe there are better places to try than Kumon
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Old 03-14-2017, 05:17 PM   #62
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Well if LA wins tonight and there next 4 and we lose our next 4 they'll be tied with us. Panic.
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Old 03-14-2017, 05:20 PM   #63
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Old 03-14-2017, 05:37 PM   #64
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Bruins are starting Khudobin vs Calgary instead of Rask...

odds for tomorrow's game just got better for Flames
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Old 03-14-2017, 05:40 PM   #65
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just another team laying down for the Flames
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Old 03-14-2017, 05:44 PM   #66
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just another team laying down for the Flames
Clearly because other teams still dont consider the Flames a threat despite their winning streak and need to save their absolute best for McDavid and Looch.
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Old 03-15-2017, 01:16 AM   #67
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Or the Oilers are playing the tired team as usual...goes both ways
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Old 03-15-2017, 02:43 PM   #68
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Or the Oilers are playing the tired team as usual...goes both ways
If a team dresses its backup goalie against the Flames and then plays the Oilers tired the next night, it favours the Flames because it's only a backup goalie.

If a team dresses its backup against the Oilers and then plays the Flames tired the next night, it favours the Flames because the team is tired.

If a team dresses its starter against the Flames and then plays the Oilers tired with its backup in net, it favours the Flames because reasons.

It's sooooooo hard to be the Oilers.
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Old 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM   #69
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If a team dresses its backup goalie against the Flames and then plays the Oilers tired the next night, it favours the Flames because it's only a backup goalie.

If a team dresses its backup against the Oilers and then plays the Flames tired the next night, it favours the Flames because the team is tired.

If a team dresses its starter against the Flames and then plays the Oilers tired with its backup in net, it favours the Flames because reasons.

It's sooooooo hard to be the Oilers.
Oilers never get any breaks
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Old 03-15-2017, 03:17 PM   #70
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Oilers never get any breaks
Well there was that one time....



But they weren't happy about it.
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Old 03-17-2017, 05:48 AM   #71
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I think the next four games for each team will determine the plight of the Kings. For LA to stay on the mix they need to beat the bottom feeders in AZ and BUF, and the then they may still be in the mix to take one of the two Alberta teams down. Otherwise they are left focusing on STL, and the Blues schedule is cake after they clear California. Looks like the Kings are going to have to run the table against Alberta if they have a hope. We should know whether the Flames are fighting for playoff position or life before they leave on the eastern swing. strength of schedule puts us in one of the worse positions, but the roll and the 10 point cushion should make it extremely difficult for the Kings to catch us. Still not in until the math makes it impossible, but the Kings are on life support. They didn't look very good against a pretty disinterested Blues squad.
Well the Kings got 3 of 4 points against the teams mentioned which makes their Sun. and Mon. games in Alberta very interesting. I wouldn't say the Blues sched is cake, but, they do play 3 games against the Avs which looks like they'll get 5-6 points.
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Old 03-17-2017, 07:14 AM   #72
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Flames need to start their own little winning streak again tonight against Dallas. They really need to beat Dallas and LA before heading out on the road. Don't see many obvious wins after those games. Strength of schedule matters and the Flames are on the short end of the stick there. Seven points is a nice cushion, but they still need to close the door on LA themselves.
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Old 03-17-2017, 07:18 AM   #73
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Jamie Benn looks like he is questionable to start for Dallas tonight. That can't hurt the Flames chances of a win.
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Old 03-17-2017, 08:23 AM   #74
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After last night's results, according to sportsclubstats.com :

Flames - playoff chances dropped from 95.6% to 93.4%. 42% chance to finish 2nd or 3rd, 28% for wildcard

Oilers - up from 98.6% to 98.9%. 78% chance of being 2 or 3, 12% wildcard

Blues - up from 93.3% to 95.5% (now better than the Flames). 51% finish 3rd, 45% wildcard

Nashville - Up from 91.8% to 94.2%. 49% 3rd place, 45% wild card.

Kings - Down from 21.2% to 19.3% despite winning. Basically no chance of anything other than the 2nd wildcard.

It's fascinating to watch the day to day change now that the season is so close to finishing.
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Old 03-18-2017, 04:18 PM   #75
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The Flames went up 2.3% after Friday's win to 95.7%
The Predators, Blues, and Kings went down.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western/Pacific/Calgary.html
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Old 03-18-2017, 04:31 PM   #76
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One of the great things about sportsclubstats is that they have the weighted odds, which factor in who you're playing and where (i.e. strength of schedule), as well as random, 50/50 odds.

The odds right now for the Flames are:

Weighted: 95.7%
50/50: 97.1%

That difference accurately reflects the strength of schedule component, not this suggestion from posters that the team is going to lose most of their games because they're against tough teams.
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Old 03-18-2017, 05:05 PM   #77
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The Flames have 11 games left against 7 different teams.

The Flames have played those same 7 teams 15 times already this season to a record of 8-7-0. (0.533 points %)

The same points % in the remaining 11 games would see the Flames get 11-12 more points (11.7 by the math)

11 or 12 points is a virtual lock for the Flames as LA would have to go 11-1-0 or 10-1-1 to pass us.
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Old 03-18-2017, 05:27 PM   #78
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Flames are what 35-17-3 since that bad start? Take away their 20 game hot streak and the were 19-14-2 in the 35 games previous to that. I remember similar sentiment in 04 around this time of year although with a less daunting schedule. That team handled it, so will this one.
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Old 03-18-2017, 05:53 PM   #79
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In the last 20 games, the Flames have gone 16-3-1 (as we all know). If we look at their record vs teams in the top 1/3, middle 1/3, and bottom 1/3 of the league, it breaks down as follows:

TOP: 5-1-0 .833
MID: 5-1-0 .833
BOT: 6-1-1 .813
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Old 03-18-2017, 05:57 PM   #80
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
In the last 20 games, the Flames have gone 16-3-1 (as we all know). If we look at their record vs teams in the top 1/3, middle 1/3, and bottom 1/3 of the league, it breaks down as follows:

TOP: 5-1-0 .833
MID: 5-1-0 .833
BOT: 6-1-1 .813
Stupid post bye-week game against the Yotes.

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