Becoming Oilers vs Blues/Kings/Preds in wildcard race

[hwy19man]

Originally Posted by Finger Cookin

8 games to go with the four Pacific teams separated by 5 points, with Nashville and St. Louis just one more point behind. Just about every place of finish iteration is still possible.

The five point difference is still there with just six games remaining for all Pacific Division teams. Lots of fun.

[Flamescuprun2018]

Source: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

The LA loss last night has pushed us into WC #2 slot with projected 96 pt finish (going 3-2-1) one back of Nashville at 97 pts and two back of St. Louis at 98 pts.

Anaheim now projected to finish 1st in Pacific behind San Jose (2nd) and Edmonton (3rd).

Need to win these next two home games and then go at least 500 on the road for the final 3 (1-1-1) to have a shot at WC #1 and 97 points at least.

Over course if we run the tables (5-0) down the stretch we can still supplant San Jose with 2 head to head games for a 2nd Pacific projection. San Jose currently has the ROW edge in case of tie but likely would end up with 99 or less points from remaining non-Flames games (3-1 record at best).

A loss to San Jose Friday is not an option!

[polak]

Just clinch.

[bax]

So to clinch on Friday do we need an LA loss in addition to a Flames win?

[djsFlames]

So much can change in these 5 games with the Flames, Ducks, Sharks and Oilers all playing each other multiple games.

Run the table and your chances of home ice are good.

Do okay and you're probably looking at 3rd or WC1. Pretty much where we expected.

Struggle and you're playing Chicago, unless the wheels fall off for Nashville.

But all of the teams ahead are bound to suffer losses since they are playing each other, so there's nothing even near decided yet.

[polak]

Originally Posted by bax

So to clinch on Friday do we need an LA loss in addition to a Flames win?

Either or, not both.

[hwy19man]

Originally Posted by djsFlames

Run the table and your chances of home ice are good.

Do okay and you're probably looking at 3rd or WC1. Pretty much where we expected.

Struggle and you're playing Chicago, unless the wheels fall off for Nashville.

But all of the teams ahead are bound to suffer losses since they are playing each other, so there's nothing even near decided yet.

The Pacific teams can still finish all over the place and that is with three or four games left now!

[Cactus Jack]

Now it´s just Chicago or Anaheim. Nashville has a couple cupcake games left in Winnipeg and Dallas, easier than our next two opponents. Maybe it will work out for the best and we get Chicago instead of Anaheim - not that Chicago will be easy or that we will be favourites or anything

[Erick Estrada]

Jets have been playing really well lately so that game IMO is a tougher game than facing the Kings.

[Joe Nieuwendyk]

Originally Posted by Cactus Jack

Now it´s just Chicago or Anaheim. Nashville has a couple cupcake games left in Winnipeg and Dallas, easier than our next two opponents.

Both Winnipeg and Dallas have better records in their last 10 than San Jose and L.A.

[stang]

What has to happen for a BOA

[Roof-Daddy]

Originally Posted by stang

What has to happen for a BOA

Oilers have to get 5 or 6 points, Ducks get 0 or 1 and Flames have to stay ahead of Nashville and finish in the 1st Wildcard.

About a 1% chance according to Sportsclubstats I think I saw somewhere.

[Firebot]

Originally Posted by stang

What has to happen for a BOA

Edmonton need to gain at least 5 points in their next 3 games while the Ducks lose their last 2, Flames need to stay tied / ahead of the Predators (Kings and Sharks, versus their Jets and Stars game)

[Erick Estrada]

Originally Posted by stang

What has to happen for a BOA

2nd round matchup maybe but even that's a long shot.

[getbak]

Originally Posted by stang

What has to happen for a BOA

Oilers get 4 more points in their final 3 games than Anaheim gets in its final 2 (while also gaining at least 2 more ROWs than Anaheim), and the Flames get at least as many points as Nashville over their final 2 games.

[CMPunk]

Originally Posted by stang

What has to happen for a BOA

Edmonton has to go 3-0 and the Ducks can only win 1 of their last 2. Oilers would have the tie breaker in wins with 43 ROW to the Ducks 41 ROW.

Calgary basically has to keep pace with the Preds as they have the tiebreaker

[stang]

Well crap... I was really hoping for it! Oil getting 5 points should be doable, but I dont see the Ducks losing out.

[getbak]

My preferred scenario is:

• Ducks lose both games in regulation, finish with 101 points (41 ROW).
• Sharks win both games, beating Edmonton in regulation and Calgary in OT/SO, finish with 101 points (44 ROW).
• Oilers lose in regulation to the Sharks, win both against Vancouver, but one in a shootout, finish with 101 points (41 ROW).
• Flames beat LA and lose in OT/SO to Sharks, finish with 95 points (41 ROW).
• Nashville loses one of its remaining games and finishes with no more than 95 points.

In this scenario, the Sharks would win the Division and play the Flames in the first round. The Ducks and Oilers would play in the first round, with Anaheim having home ice.

[Tsawwassen]

Originally Posted by stang

What has to happen for a BOA

Originally Posted by Erick Estrada

2nd round matchup maybe but even that's a long shot.

A longer shot would be a 3rd round matchup.

[Tsawwassen]

This is it, it all comes down to the final weekend of the season for the Blues, Preds, and Flames for the wild card spots.