Quote:
Originally Posted by Delgar
Given the amount of money you're likely dealing with, I'd phone someone at a company like CalForex, they'd probably openly provide their projections and their business is mostly US-Canada currency changes on merchant accounts. Also, they'll let you hedge for certainty where they take the risk if you want certainty. Even if they don't tell you their projections, how they propose your hedge will signal their projections.
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Two things:
1) their (and everyone else's) projections are worthless - all information is priced in already, and anyone's opinion beyond that is a pointless guess
2) that is not how hedging works. The forward rate is not a prediction of what the rate will be in the future, it is merely a function of the differential in interest rates (i.e. holding costs of being long one currency vs the other).
The best advice in this thread is to simply do regular transactions to average out the rate and eliminate the stress.
That, and shop for the best conversion rates (spoiler alert: not your bank).