10-27-2014, 08:36 PM
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#141
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Franchise Player
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Pretty tight race early on in Calgary Elbow with 5 polling stations reporting. It looks like it could go to either the Alberta Party, Wildrose or PC. Very interesting stuff.
It would be a real shocker if only Prentice and Mandell won seats.
Last edited by calgarygeologist; 10-27-2014 at 08:38 PM.
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10-27-2014, 08:47 PM
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#142
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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It's early, but it doesn't look that tight to me with 18 polls in. Dirks has opened up a pretty solid lead at this point.
Clark is crushing Susan Wright, though.
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10-27-2014, 08:50 PM
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#143
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: not lurking
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Yeah, Dirks has a decent lead from the advance polling, and he's widening that a bit. But it looks like that vast majority of polls reporting so far are from Glamorgan, Richard Road area. So the trailing candidates can hold out hope that the rest of the riding won't swing the same way.
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10-27-2014, 08:50 PM
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#144
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Retired
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Almost time to call it a PC sweep.
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10-27-2014, 08:51 PM
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#145
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ducay
I'm so confused; how is WRA leading in Calgary West. Was Ellis that bad? I don't know either candidate, but we're a high income urban area, and should be leaning Liberal if anything.
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So you'd think but remembe we kept voting in Anders. There's a lot of oil money and older people in the riding.
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10-27-2014, 08:52 PM
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#146
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Franchise Player
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Pretty much as expected so far. Only surprises are Dirks with a pretty good lead and Mandel with less than 50% of the vote. Early still though.
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10-27-2014, 09:04 PM
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#147
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Franchise Player
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I'm surprised the WR are doing as well as they are in Edmonton.
Liberals held their vote in Whitemud which must drive the N DP bonkers because they had a shot if the Liberal ote moved their way
__________________
"OOOOOOHHHHHHH those Russians" - Boney M
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10-27-2014, 09:04 PM
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#148
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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Quote:
Originally Posted by octothorp
Yeah, Dirks has a decent lead from the advance polling, and he's widening that a bit. But it looks like that vast majority of polls reporting so far are from Glamorgan, Richard Road area. So the trailing candidates can hold out hope that the rest of the riding won't swing the same way.
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Yeah, I would imagine that Clark (or perhaps Wright, who knows) will put up some good numbers in Altadore, Marda Loop, Garrison Woods and Rutland Park--but at this point there would have to be significant margins and turnout for it to make any difference.
Has to be disappointing for the WRA, who so far are not close.
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10-27-2014, 09:06 PM
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#149
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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With 31 polls in, Clark is creeping up on Fletcher, just 99 votes behind. Looks like it will be Dirks, but it's easy to see the Alberta Party spinning a second-place finish as a win.
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10-27-2014, 09:08 PM
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#150
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Franchise Player
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It pains me to say this but it looks like Dirks has Elbow wrapped up. I'm pretty disappointed in that.
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10-27-2014, 09:09 PM
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#151
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: not lurking
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
Yeah, I would imagine that Clark (or perhaps Wright, who knows) will put up some good numbers in Altadore, Marda Loop, Garrison Woods and Rutland Park--but at this point there would have to be significant margins and turnout for it to make any difference.
Has to be disappointing for the WRA, who so far are not close.
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Yup, lots more ridings in now, and nowhere that looks like a bastion for either Clarke or Fletcher. I can see Clarke maybe moving up into a distant second, at best.
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10-27-2014, 09:10 PM
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#152
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Calgary
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Elbow will be close-ish, looks like Clark will take second.
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10-27-2014, 09:13 PM
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#153
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Franchise Player
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Pro-rating the Stephen Carter poll, looks like it was actually pretty bang on:
http://www.greg-clark.ca/threewayrace
__________________
Trust the snake.
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10-27-2014, 09:16 PM
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#154
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Calgary
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Clark is conceding Elbow.
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10-27-2014, 09:19 PM
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#155
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Franchise Player
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The WR wanted voters to send a message to the PCs with their vote.
A message has been sent but to the WR, has it not?
__________________
"OOOOOOHHHHHHH those Russians" - Boney M
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10-27-2014, 09:21 PM
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#156
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Franchise Player
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The only way I can see Alberta Party successfully being able to spin to supporters (and more importantly donors) a positive story is if they finish a strong second in Elbow and Clark finishes with more votes than all four Liberal candidates combined.
__________________
Trust the snake.
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10-27-2014, 09:22 PM
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#157
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Uzbekistan
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WR must be be pretty frustrated. PCs had scandal after scandal in the last year and they still win all 4 by-elections...
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10-27-2014, 09:27 PM
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#158
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: not lurking
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Clark leads Fletcher!! (By 24 votes, in a very distant second-place race).
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10-27-2014, 09:28 PM
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#159
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Franchise Player
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AP is in second now in Elbow. Very impressive.
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10-27-2014, 09:28 PM
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#160
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny199r
WR must be be pretty frustrated. PCs had scandal after scandal in the last year and they still win all 4 by-elections...
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They really needed Calgary West. That'll sting. People it seems want to give Prentice a chance.
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Trust the snake.
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