08-19-2017, 04:06 PM
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#1
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Cape Breton Island
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Sean Tierney's GAR projection model
I don't know who Sean Tierney is or what GAR is, but I'm guessing it wont be popular around these parts as he's predicting the Flames to miss the playoffs
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08-19-2017, 04:08 PM
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#2
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Celebrated Square Root Day
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11th in the West. Yeah, it doesn't pass the "reality" test by the Flames position alone.
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08-19-2017, 04:09 PM
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#3
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Resurrection
I don't know who Sean Tierney is or what GAR is, but I'm guessing it wont be popular around these parts as he's predicting the Flames to miss the playoffs
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Sounds like a great reason to post it and bring attention to it.
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08-19-2017, 04:09 PM
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#4
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Celebrated Square Root Day
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...and Kings 3rd in the West?
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08-19-2017, 04:09 PM
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#5
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First round-bust
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: speculating about AHL players
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The Kings at sixth and the Blackhawks, Predators, Senators -- the latter two of which made the Conference Finals last year -- instantly render this invalid and not worth my time.
__________________
"This has been TheScorpion's shtick for years. All these hot takes, clickbait nonsense just to feed his social media algorithms." –Tuco
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08-19-2017, 04:23 PM
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#6
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: A small painted room
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I like how blue represents hot, and red represents cold. Refreshing take!
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08-19-2017, 04:31 PM
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#7
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Retired
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Back in Guelph
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"Yes I hate your team"! Haha I love it.
Edit: also, I don't understand why it is "unfinished". So... finish it then post it.
Last edited by TheFlamesVan; 08-19-2017 at 05:21 PM.
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08-19-2017, 04:32 PM
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#8
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Franchise Player
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what was his projection last season and compare to actual?
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08-19-2017, 04:42 PM
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#9
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Our Jessica Fletcher
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The Kings @ 6th overall? Wtf? They're a lot closer to being a bottom 5 team than they are a top 5.
Since their Cup win in 2014, they've finished with 95, 102, and 86 points. They've lost Voynov, Williams, and Lucic over those years, and really have only added Toffoli. While Kopitar had an awful season last year and we should expect him to bounce back, Carter had his best season in 7 years at the age of 32, and will most definitely regress. It was unlucky for Quick to miss the majority of the season, but Budaj actually performed well for them, putting up nearly identical GAA and SV% to Quick's previous 2 seasons when he was healthy. Worth mentioning too that their top 3 D-men never missed a single game... will that happen again?
I just don't see how the author can justify a 14 point jump in the standings for the Kings, when most signs point to them getting worse, IMO.
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08-19-2017, 04:48 PM
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#10
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Vancouver, BC
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WPG at 100 points? Wow, they must have had quite the off-season. I totally missed that.
OTT with 84 points after making the Conference finals. Must have lost some major pieces from this year's playoff run.
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08-19-2017, 05:11 PM
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#11
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Lifetime Suspension
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If Winnipeg puts it all together, ie. if they get decent goaltending, they could be extremely dangerous. Ridiculous amount of talent on that team.
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08-19-2017, 05:12 PM
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#12
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Acerbic Cyberbully
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: back in Chilliwack
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shadowlord
WPG at 100 points? ...
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Yeah, there is no mystery here why Resurrection posted this, his feigned surprise notwithstanding.
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08-19-2017, 05:14 PM
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#13
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Calgary
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OP needs to read the supplementary tweet:
Sean Tierney
@ChartingHockey
Once I'm finished, I'd be surprised if CGY and STL didn't improve a bit and LAK should drop a bit too but it's an okay first draft.
__________________
"May those who accept their fate find happiness. May those who defy it find glory."
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08-19-2017, 05:18 PM
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#14
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: SW Ontario
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What is gar? Is this another rico stat?
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08-19-2017, 05:20 PM
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#15
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GranteedEV
OP needs to read the supplementary tweet:
Sean Tierney
@ChartingHockey
Once I'm finished, I'd be surprised if CGY and STL didn't improve a bit and LAK should drop a bit too but it's an okay first draft.
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Calgary, St. Louis and LA aren't the only teams that are out of place though. Nashville and Chicago are two head scratchers.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by CroFlames
Before you call me a pessimist or a downer, the Flames made me this way. Blame them.
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08-19-2017, 05:20 PM
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#16
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dissentowner
What is gar? Is this another rico stat?
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Goals Above Replacement, and no it's not a rico stat, it actually has predictive value although it's as imperfect as anything.
__________________
"May those who accept their fate find happiness. May those who defy it find glory."
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08-19-2017, 05:27 PM
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#17
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Franchise Player
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Another moron who thinks MS Excel can predict anything other than how little you get laid.
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08-19-2017, 05:28 PM
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#18
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Calgary, AB
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GranteedEV
Goals Above Replacement
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Which means what?
__________________
Turn up the good, turn down the suck!
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08-19-2017, 05:31 PM
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#19
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Scoring Winger
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dissentowner
What is gar? Is this another rico stat?
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Goes Against Reality?
__________________
Long time caller, first time listener
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08-19-2017, 05:36 PM
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#20
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Cape Breton Island
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
Yeah, there is no mystery here why Resurrection posted this, his feigned surprise notwithstanding.
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If I've aggravated you, it was well worth it.
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