Mike Smith had a .914 SV% on that TERRIBLE Arizona team last year. There is every reason to believe that he can put up numbers close to .921-.926 SV% with a 2.25-2.35 GAA with the Flames this upcoming year.
2015-2016: .916 SV%
2016-2017: .914 SV%
I'm projecting 35-37 wins, 2.25 - 2.35 GAA, .921 - .926 SV% for Mike Smith this upcoming year.
That's what happens when you drastically improve the quality of team in front of the goalie.
I'd be interested to see what the advanced stats using the number of shots flames give up, high danger, medium danger, low danger and Smith's SV% in those situation....if someone compiled those then we could also get some sort of projection from that as well.
Mike Smith had a .914 SV% on that TERRIBLE Arizona team last year. There is every reason to believe that he can put up numbers close to .921-.926 SV% with a 2.25-2.35 GAA with the Flames this upcoming year.
2015-2016: .916 SV%
2016-2017: .914 SV%
I'm projecting 35-37 wins, 2.25 - 2.35 GAA, .921 - .926 SV% for Mike Smith this upcoming year.
That's what happens when you drastically improve the quality of team in front of the goalie.
Well I want to believe, but after being burned the last few years, the best I can commit to is hope.
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Originally Posted by ResAlien
Let us not befoul this glorious day with talk of the anal gland drippings that are HERO charts.
Well I want to believe, but after being burned the last few years, the best I can commit to is hope.
The difference between Mike Smith and every other goalie that we have brought through our goalie carousel is that he has been proven to be a #1 Goalie in the NHL.
Elliott had the same problems in St. Louis as he had in CGY and people were surprised but I wasn't so much. Elliott has been a hot and cold goalie / inconsistent as heck his whole career and that is why he could not become a Steady #1 anywhere in the league. The solid#s were just gloss after playing behind really great St. Louis teams.
Mike Smith had a better SV% on Arizona than Brian Elliott did on CGY last season. Flames finished with 94 points and Arizona finished with 70 points. Flames allowed like 6 shots less per game and less high danger chances.
Let that sink in for a moment.
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The difference between Mike Smith and every other goalie that we have brought through our goalie carousel is that he has been proven to be a #1 Goalie in the NHL.
Elliott had the same problems in St. Louis as he had in CGY and people were surprised but I wasn't so much. Elliott has been a hot and cold goalie / inconsistent as heck his whole career and that is why he could not become a Steady #1 anywhere in the league. The solid#s were just gloss after playing behind really great St. Louis teams.
Mike Smith had a better SV% on Arizona than Brian Elliott did on CGY last season. Flames finished with 94 points and Arizona finished with 70 points. Flames allowed like 6 shots less per game and less high danger chances.
Let that sink in for a moment.
I was not suggesting that the stats don't lean in favor of Smith over Elliott, but just that emotionally it is hard to have a great deal of faith in any goal tender lately as a Flames fan. Either way, I agree with your opinion.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ResAlien
Let us not befoul this glorious day with talk of the anal gland drippings that are HERO charts.
I was not suggesting that the stats don't lean in favor of Smith over Elliott, but just that emotionally it is hard to have a great deal of faith in any goal tender lately as a Flames fan. Either way, I agree with your opinion.
This. Or any summer signings for that matter. I have learnt to take the wait and see approach as there have been so many disappointments over the years with hyped summer signings.
The difference between Mike Smith and every other goalie that we have brought through our goalie carousel is that he has been proven to be a #1 Goalie in the NHL.
Elliott had the same problems in St. Louis as he had in CGY and people were surprised but I wasn't so much. Elliott has been a hot and cold goalie / inconsistent as heck his whole career and that is why he could not become a Steady #1 anywhere in the league. The solid#s were just gloss after playing behind really great St. Louis teams.
Mike Smith had a better SV% on Arizona than Brian Elliott did on CGY last season. Flames finished with 94 points and Arizona finished with 70 points. Flames allowed like 6 shots less per game and less high danger chances.
Let that sink in for a moment.
Good points, but again, you also have to consider the fact that Arizona was not playing meaningful hockey for 90% of the season. It's an entirely different beast to play well in net on a team with expectations of winning in a hockey market.
Hopefully Smith is capable of running with this job, if not, I am confident Lack can provide enough off the bench for the Flames to be in a better position than last year with Johnson (who was below average for all but a 10-12 game stretch).
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What's with that jerkoff kid blocking him from going onto the ice??
Didn't you have a lot of not-so-nice things to say about Mike Smith and how terrible he is and how miserably he will fail with the Flames and how happy you are to see the back of him?
Sorry for maybe exaggerating it a little bit and sorry if that was a different poster.
Didn't you have a lot of not-so-nice things to say about Mike Smith and how terrible he is and how miserably he will fail with the Flames and how happy you are to see the back of him?
Sorry for maybe exaggerating it a little bit and sorry if that was a different poster.
@BouwNArrow
Nope...I take my apologies back....these are your statements:
- Regress and be more hated than Roman Turek
- He is a headcase
- Would have been fine to lose in expansion draft for nothing
- Will blow his knee out
- He's overpaid
- His puckhandling is a hindrance; wish he would stay in his net
Lol. What a load of crap.
2016-17: SV% on Arizona... 0.914..... what more could you possibly want from a guy on a terrible team?
I will admit that a was wr wr wr wr about Elliot. I got seduced by his performance with the Blues behind a stellar defense.
So I prefer to be optimistic about Smith who played behind a team that was fortunate that most of the players figured out that their jersey logo's were supposed to face forward, and still managed to have a solid svpct and made saves from the danger areas in a elite manner.
On top of that, with a blueline that features very good puckmovers having the best goalie in the league in my mind in terms of stick handling means a lot less time chasing the pucks on shoot ins. Teams are going to have to depend on the slower cross ice shoot ins or try to carry the puck over the blueline against a very good d-core.
Even if Smith is stunningly average in this role and doesn't give up the blunder trust crushing goals that Elliot and Johnson gave up on a seemingly regular basis this team is way ahead.
Edmonton with stellar goaltending gave up 9 less goals then the Flames and ended up with 103 points. If the Flames can get goaltending from Lack and Smith that gives up 9 goals goals, this team is certainly in the mix for a top 3 spot in the division.
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Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!
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