03-04-2017, 05:09 PM
|
#1
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
2016-2017 Magic Number Thread.
Here are the current magic numbers for each team. The fourth column is the one with the magic number. If that number reaches zero, it means you are in the playoffs. A win reduces that number by 1. An overtime loss reduces it by 0.5. A loss by the 9th placed team, in this case Los Angeles reduces it also by one. For teams outside the playoffs a loss by the 8th placed team, St. Louis, reduces it by one as that is the team they need to pass in order to get in.
Here is the matchups between each other team. If there are sections that are redded out, it means that there is no mathematical way for that team to catch the other or to fall behind that team.
If the Flames go .500, they will have a 6-6-1 record for 95 points.
Each team will need to have the following records to beat that mark.
Minnesota - 2-12-0
Chicago - 1-11-1
SJ - 2-10-1
Calgary - 7-6-0
Anaheim - 7-6-0
Edmonton - 7-5-1
Nashville - 8-4-1
St. Louis - 9-4-1
--------------------
Los Angeles - 11-1-1
Vancouver - ELIMINATED
Winnipeg - ELIMINATED
Dallas - ELIMINATED
Arizona - ELIMINATED
Colorado - ELIMINATED
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
Last edited by Caged Great; 03-15-2017 at 12:26 AM.
|
|
|
The Following 48 Users Say Thank You to Caged Great For This Useful Post:
|
apiquard,
ASP#26525,
automaton 3,
Bezer,
bubbsy,
Bunk,
Cycling76er,
dammage79,
Dion,
drewtastic,
EldrickOnIce,
Enoch Root,
Eric,
FBI,
Finger Cookin,
Fire,
Flamesfan2010,
Flashpoint,
Frequitude,
gallione11,
hockey.modern,
Itse,
jayswin,
JohnnyTitan,
midniteowl,
Mike F,
Moneyhands23,
My2Cents,
OBCT,
OldSam,
pope04,
puffnstuff,
Resolute 14,
Robo,
Rubicant,
sec304,
Slacker,
smiggy77,
Split98,
Stillman16,
taxbuster,
The Fonz,
TheScorpion,
Tilley,
Toonage,
Tsawwassen,
tsquared1967,
wwkayaker
|
03-04-2017, 05:17 PM
|
#2
|
Lifetime Suspension
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: victoria
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Caged Great
Here are the current magic numbers for each team. The fourth column is the one with the magic number. If that number reaches zero, it means you are in the playoffs. A win reduces that number by 1. An overtime loss reduces it by 0.5. A loss by the 9th placed team, in this case Los Angeles reduces it also by one. For teams outside the playoffs a loss by the 8th placed team, St. Louis, reduces it by one as that is the team they need to pass in order to get in.
Here is the matchups between each other team. If there are sections that are redded out, it means that there is no mathematical way for that team to catch the other or to fall behind that team.
If the Flames go .500, they will have a 9-9-0 record for 92 points.
Each team will need to have the following records to beat that mark.
Minnesota - 2-17-1
Chicago - 3-15-0
SJ - 5-14-0
Anaheim - 8-9-1
Edmonton - 8-9-1
Calgary - 9-8-1
Nashville - 10-8-0
Los Angeles - 12-5-1
--------------------
St. Louis - 13-6-0
Winnipeg - 14-2-1
Dallas - 16-1-1
Vancouver - 17-2-0
Arizona - ELIMINATED
Colorado - ELIMINATED
|
St.louis is in tough. Especially after trading away Shattenkirk.
Vancouver---- So your saying theres a chance!!!!!!!
|
|
|
03-04-2017, 05:17 PM
|
#3
|
Lifetime Suspension
|
I'm sorry I need a eli5
|
|
|
03-04-2017, 05:19 PM
|
#4
|
First Line Centre
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Lethbridge
|
^They also have an easy schedule though, will be interesting to see how it sorts out.
|
|
|
03-04-2017, 05:22 PM
|
#5
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Backlunds_socks
I'm sorry I need a eli5
|
Calgary's magic to eliminate all the 9th placed and below teams and to ensure a playoff spot in 15.5 wins or 31 points. Those numbers are reduced by both Calgary wins and losses by the 9th placed team (and those below).
If the Flames beat the Islanders tomorrow, the number will get reduced by one to 14.5 or 29 points. If Los Angeles loses tonight, it will also be reduced by one, so it will be 14.5 or 29 prior to the Flames game tomorrow. If the Kings win tonight, the number will remain at 15.5 or 31 points.
When the # reaches zero, that team can no longer pass Calgary under any circumstances.
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
Last edited by Caged Great; 03-04-2017 at 05:27 PM.
|
|
|
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Caged Great For This Useful Post:
|
|
03-04-2017, 05:29 PM
|
#6
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
For example, the number to eliminate all the teams individually right now that are out of a playoff spot are
LA - 15.5 wins or 31 points
WPG - 12.5 wins or 25 points
VAN - 12 wins or 24 points
DAL - 11.5 wins or 23 points
ARI - 8 wins or 16 points
COL - 2 wins or 4 points
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Caged Great For This Useful Post:
|
|
03-04-2017, 05:48 PM
|
#7
|
Franchise Player
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyhands23
St.louis is in tough. Especially after trading away Shattenkirk.
Vancouver---- So your saying theres a chance!!!!!!!
|
15-3-1 will get them to 90 points. Could happen!
|
|
|
03-04-2017, 05:57 PM
|
#8
|
Lifetime Suspension
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: victoria
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
15-3-1 will get them to 90 points. Could happen!
|
I could also eat arron wards pubes...but thank god he didnt send them to me
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Moneyhands23 For This Useful Post:
|
|
03-04-2017, 10:48 PM
|
#9
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
Updated after tonight's action
Calgary's magic # drops by 1 due to Los Angeles losing to Vancouver. It now sits at 14.5.
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
The Following 6 Users Say Thank You to Caged Great For This Useful Post:
|
|
03-04-2017, 10:58 PM
|
#10
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
Tomorrow's games that have relevance
NYI @ CGY
SJ @ MIN
VAN @ ANA
STL @ COL
CAR @ ARI (not really)
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
03-04-2017, 11:06 PM
|
#11
|
First Line Centre
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Houston, TX
|
Does this take into account head to head games between teams below the Flames? For instance, if LA and St Louis play 2 more times, wthat should reduce the magic number by 2 half games, assuming an OTL for one team. In this situation an additional half game (only) would come off if the was a regulation win.
|
|
|
03-04-2017, 11:17 PM
|
#12
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by dying4acup
Does this take into account head to head games between teams below the Flames? For instance, if LA and St Louis play 2 more times, wthat should reduce the magic number by 2 half games, assuming an OTL for one team. In this situation an additional half game (only) would come off if the was a regulation win.
|
It would depend on the actual result. Each team winning a game in OT against each other would only reduce the number by 0.5 for each team only. The ideal situation would be one team winning both in regulation.
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Caged Great For This Useful Post:
|
|
03-05-2017, 11:58 AM
|
#13
|
Scoring Winger
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Halifax, NS
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Caged Great
Tomorrow's games that have relevance
NYI @ CGY
SJ @ MIN
VAN @ ANA
STL @ COL
CAR @ ARI (not really)
|
It feels weird to cheer for Vancouver, but I'd love to overtake Anaheim.
__________________
"I’m on a mission to civilize." - Will McAvoy
|
|
|
03-05-2017, 04:12 PM
|
#14
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
13.5 now assuming the Flames won't blow a 4 goal lead with 12 min left
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
03-05-2017, 04:46 PM
|
#15
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Nachodamus.
|
So with this win Colorado officially can not catch us now, right?
|
|
|
03-05-2017, 04:52 PM
|
#16
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lanny'sDaMan
So with this win Colorado officially can not catch us now, right?
|
Yes, we are going to finish ahead of Colorado. No Edmonton style finishes for us.
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
03-05-2017, 05:21 PM
|
#17
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
Here are the current rankings of each of our remaining opponents. Bold = Home
Montreal - 8th Overall
Winnipeg - 23rd
Pittsburgh - 5th
Boston - 13th
Dallas - T-24th
Los Angeles - T-18th
Washington - 1st
Nashville - 14th
St. Louis - 21st
Colorado - 30th
Los Angeles - T-18th
San Jose - 7th
Anaheim - T-10th
Anaheim - T- 10th
Los Angeles - T-18th
San Jose - 7th
7 games against teams in the top 10
5 against the middle 10
4 against bottom feeders.
The Flames need to mop the floor with the lousy and bubble teams. 6-3 vs the bottom 20 teams would be ideal. That way if they struggle going 3-4 or worse they still will have a good chance to get in and perhaps not in a WC spot.
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Caged Great For This Useful Post:
|
|
03-05-2017, 08:49 PM
|
#18
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: Paradise
|
That home and home against the Ducks in April is going to be epic.
|
|
|
03-05-2017, 09:10 PM
|
#19
|
Lifetime Suspension
|
Looking at the schedule and thinking about projections. I'd say
9-6-1 to 10-6-0 (or better) gets them in the PAC top 3
7-8-1 to 8-8-0 gets them a WC spot
6 wins and you're flirting with the playoff line, but it's still probably >50%
|
|
|
03-05-2017, 10:01 PM
|
#20
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
|
Another good day for Calgary. Magic number drops by one again down to 13.5. Anaheim losing also is great.
__________________
Fireside Chat - The #1 Flames Fan Podcast - FiresideChat.ca
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 02:58 PM.
|
|