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Old 01-31-2017, 12:33 PM   #2058
Street Pharmacist
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12 View Post
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's piece "The Intellectual Yet Idiot" summed it up pretty good for me.
You love narrative but hate data. You think he "sums it up nicely" because it fits the narrative you like, which is ironic considering the piece you just posted.

In fact, the single largest factor in predicting vote share was not income (not buy a lot actually), not race (though there's plenty of evidence of it's role, but it was education

The lower educated, the more likely to vote Trump, especially in swing states. The purge piece of data that destroys the "these poor folk are just frustrated no one was helping them" narrative was the undecided swings based on news events. The Comey letter moved polls with sharply in Trump's favour, and we all know how that played out.

On the end there's literally no data to support your narrative, but it sounds good, so you claim others are ignoring it.
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