Quote:
Originally Posted by FBI
Wish this article would have said WHY these players had dropped. So we could learn some lessons.
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There typically isn't obvious lessons available when looking at big drops, otherwise those lessons would have been learned by the collective scouts across the NHL and players wouldn't drop like this almost every year.
The real answer is that there's hundreds upon hundreds of draft picks every year and 60-200+ are all very similar, most not able to make the NHL. So of course some are going to surprise, it's just a numbers game amongst a sea of high caliber professional hockey players.
To look at individual players and say "just find the next Johnny Gaudreau in the fourth round and draft him and you got yourself a star forward" is absurd because there's dozens of examples of small, speedy, skilled wingers just like Gaudreau drafted every single year who don't turn into stars.
The draft is way more of a crapshoot than a lot of fans like to think. They see the outcomes of good players and to look back and say "Well, the signs were there, I don't understand how they don't learn from this". They don't "learn" from it because there's not much to learn.